BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairbank Wapsie Valley

Class: A Class Rank: 6 Conference: A-4 Record: (21-5-0) Overall: (78-29-0) Overall Strength =   85.74

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    W     102.45  42   0   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.88     25.12                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    W      93.76  25  14   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                  8.20      2.80                      
 3 09/09/2011 Away    W     104.74  41  14    A 15 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               19.17      7.83                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    W * *  75.97  13   0    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          -9.60     22.60                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    W      76.23  35  14   1A 46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -9.33     30.33                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    W      84.34  12   0    A 18 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -1.22     13.22                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    W      98.32  41   7    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             12.76     21.24                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L      70.44  17  20 1  8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley         -15.12     12.12                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W * *  76.84  26   7    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -8.73     27.73                      
10 10/26/2011 Home    W     112.90  47   7   1A 24 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin         27.34     12.66                      
11 10/31/2011 Away    L      68.93  10  13    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -16.64     13.64                      
12 08/24/2012 Home    W     123.88  67   0   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  38.31     28.69                      
13 08/31/2012 Away    W     113.33  34   7   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 27.77     -0.77                      
14 09/07/2012 Away    W     124.47  61   0    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          38.91     22.09                      
15 09/14/2012 Home    W     122.73  65   0    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     37.16     27.84                      
16 09/21/2012 Home    W      73.15  35  14    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -12.42     33.42                      
17 09/28/2012 Away    W     119.32  55   0    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             33.76     21.24                      
18 10/05/2012 Home    W     110.44  37   0    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          24.88     12.12                      
19 10/12/2012 Home    W * *  77.27  35  12    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -8.30     31.30                      
20 10/19/2012 Away    W * *  92.13  57  12    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               6.57     38.43                      
21 10/24/2012 Home    W      98.74  69  24    8 33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    13.17     31.83                      
22 10/29/2012 Home    W     111.12  48  20    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck     25.56      2.44                      
23 11/02/2012 Home    W      86.59  46  20    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama        1.03     24.97                      
24 11/09/2012 Neutral W     102.36  40  18    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           16.79      5.21                      
25 11/15/2012 Neutral W      92.21  21  14   1A 10 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  6.64      0.36                      
26 08/30/2013 Away    W     102.45  48   6   1A 43 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.88     25.12  ND                  
27 09/06/2013 Home    W      96.76  35  21   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 11.20      2.80  ND                  
28 09/13/2013 Home    W     129.90  70   0    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          44.34     25.66                      
29 09/20/2013 Away    W     103.30  48   6    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     17.74     24.26                      
30 09/27/2013 Away    W     117.72  62   0    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    32.15     29.85                      
31 10/05/2013 Home    W     101.75  61  20    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             16.19     24.81  was 10/04 now 10/05 
32 10/11/2013 Away    W      92.01  21   6    8  8 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley           6.45      8.55                      
33 10/18/2013 Away    W * *  89.84  42  10    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      4.27     27.73                      
34 10/25/2013 Home    W * *  78.56  35   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -7.00     42.00                      
35 10/30/2013 Home    W     106.89  48   6    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           21.33     20.67                      
36 11/04/2013 Home    W     110.51  35   0    A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          24.95     10.05                      
37 11/08/2013 Away    W      91.70  20  15    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      6.13     -1.13                      
38 11/15/2013 Neutral L      55.36  10  35    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -30.21      5.21                      
39 08/29/2014 Home    W * *  70.27  28  12    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -15.30     31.30                      
40 09/05/2014 Neutral L * *  54.78  21  56    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -30.79     -4.21                      
41 09/12/2014 Home    W      93.59  40   7    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama        8.03     24.97                      
42 09/19/2014 Away    L      41.31  12  41    8 17 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -44.26     15.26                      
43 09/26/2014 Home    W      79.51  21  17    A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          -6.05     10.05                      
44 10/03/2014 Away    L      51.47   6  30   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -34.10     10.10                      
45 10/10/2014 Away    W      80.65  34   0    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           -4.91     38.91                      
46 10/17/2014 Home    L      33.76   0  49   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -51.80      2.80                      
47 10/24/2014 Home    L      40.12   6  49    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -45.44      2.44                      
48 10/29/2014 Away    L      45.58  22  40    A 41 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -39.98     21.98                      
49 08/29/2015 Away    W * *  74.84  17   0    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -10.73     27.73  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
50 09/04/2015 Home    L * *  65.99  14  36    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -19.57     -2.43  ND                  
51 09/11/2015 Away    W     106.16  42   0    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       20.60     21.40                      
52 09/18/2015 Home    L      60.74   6  12    8 17 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -24.83     18.83                      
53 09/25/2015 Away    L      61.08  14  32    A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -24.48      6.48                      
54 10/02/2015 Home    L      37.89   0  34   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -47.67     13.67  ND                  
55 10/09/2015 Home    W      86.08  43   0    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            0.52     42.48                      
56 10/16/2015 Away    L      52.33   7  41   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -33.23     -0.77                      
57 10/23/2015 Away    L      67.70  14  33    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -17.87     -1.13                      
58 08/26/2016 Away    L * *  75.56   0  16    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -10.00     -6.00  was 08/19 now 08/26 site change AND  ND
59 09/02/2016 Home    L      73.76   7  16   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -11.80      2.80  ND                  
60 09/09/2016 Away    W     106.93  41   6    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              21.36     13.64                      
61 09/16/2016 Home    W      75.90  23   7    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -9.66     25.66                      
62 09/26/2016 Home    W      99.73  48   6    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     14.16     27.84  was 09/23 now 09/26 
63 09/30/2016 Away    L      68.77   9  21    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -16.80      4.80                      
64 10/07/2016 Away    W * *  90.84  40   7    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      5.27     27.73                      
65 10/14/2016 Home    W * *  78.56  49  14    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -7.00     42.00                      
66 10/21/2016 Away    W      75.32  23  12    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -10.24     21.24                      
67 10/28/2016 Away    L      78.84  10  28    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           -6.73    -11.27                      
68 08/25/2017 Home    W * * 106.99  27   8    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       21.43     -2.43  ND                  
69 09/01/2017 Away    W     107.33  27   6   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 21.77     -0.77  ND                  
70 09/08/2017 Home    W      94.36  32   6    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett               8.79     17.21                      
71 09/15/2017 Away    W      64.47  14  13 1  A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -21.09     22.09                      
72 09/22/2017 Away    W      95.30  34   0    A 46 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      9.74     24.26                      
73 09/29/2017 Home    W      93.20  38  22    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                  7.63      8.37                      
74 10/06/2017 Home    W * *  88.27  34   0    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      2.70     31.30  Game Called in the 3 rd Qtr
75 10/13/2017 Away    W * *  89.13  42   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               3.57     38.43                      
76 10/20/2017 Home    W      88.75  35   7    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn              3.19     24.81                      
77 10/27/2017 Home    L      69.12   0  14    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -16.44      2.44                      
78 08/24/2018 Away    W * *  86.54  28   8    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           0.97     19.03  ND                  
79 08/31/2018 Home    W      97.76  31  16   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 12.20      2.80  ND                  
80 09/07/2018 Home    L      53.59  26  33    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -31.97     24.97                      
81 09/14/2018 Away    W      72.53  39   0    8 59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -13.03     52.03                      
82 09/21/2018 Home    W * *  90.99  15  12    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        5.43     -2.43  ND                  
83 09/28/2018 Away    W      99.65  53   0    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           14.09     38.91                      
84 10/05/2018 Home    L      70.53  20  24   1A 23 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -15.03     11.03                      
85 10/12/2018 Home    W      62.90  21  18    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -22.66     25.66                      
86 10/19/2018 Away    W      86.08  14   7    A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center           0.52      6.48                      
87 10/26/2018 Away    L      78.99   7  12    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        -6.58      1.58                      
88 08/30/2019 Home    W * * 101.97  52  13    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          16.40     22.60  ND                  
89 09/06/2019 Away    W      93.33  13   6   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                  7.77     -0.77  ND                  
90 09/13/2019 Away    L      58.16   7  13    A 40 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -27.40     21.40                      
91 09/20/2019 Home    W      79.96  50   0    8 59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG             -5.61     55.61                      
92 09/27/2019 Away    L * *  89.56  26  28 1  A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        4.00     -6.00                      
93 10/04/2019 Home    W      97.08  54   0    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           11.52     42.48                      
94 10/11/2019 Away    L      71.10   7  14   1A 23 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -14.46      7.46                      
95 10/18/2019 Away    W      94.47  49  18    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan           8.91     22.09                      
96 10/25/2019 Home    L      72.51  14  17 1  A 14 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -13.05     10.05                      
97 08/28/2020 Away    W     108.33  42  20   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 22.77     -0.77  ND                  
98 09/04/2020 Home    W      84.90  33   8    A 42 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.66     25.66  ND                  
99 09/11/2020 Away    W * *  62.52  21  20    A 45 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -23.04     24.04  ND                  
100 09/18/2020 Home    W * *  74.27  28   8    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -11.30     31.30                      
101 09/25/2020 Home    L * *  75.99  14  26    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       -9.57     -2.43                      
102 10/02/2020 Home    W * * 109.56  66   0    A 54 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              24.00     42.00  ND                  
103 10/09/2020 Away    W * * 109.54  49   6    A 33 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          23.97     19.03                      
104 10/16/2020 Home    W * * 112.27  58   0    A 48 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     26.70     31.30                      
105 10/23/2020 Home    W      82.77  20   7    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -2.79     15.79                      
106 10/30/2020 Home    W      84.20  15   8    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -1.37      8.37                      
107 11/06/2020 Away    L      97.23  27  32    A  1 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       11.66    -16.66                      
      Averages              85.74  30.8 13.4

Best game:  129.90 = 70 point win over Winthrop East Buchanan
Worst game:  33.76 = 49 point loss to Denver
Team stdev:  20.42