BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairbank Wapsie Valley

Class: A Class Rank: 7 Conference: A-4 Record: (21-5-0) Overall: (78-29-0) Overall Strength =   85.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W   102.32  42   0   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.88     25.12                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W    93.67  25  14   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                  8.23      2.77                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W   104.61  41  14    A  16 ( 60- 35-  0) Bellevue               19.16      7.84                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    W *  75.86  13   0    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          -9.58     22.58                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W    76.10  35  14   1A  46 ( 14- 73-  0) Goose Lake Northeast   -9.34     30.34                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W    84.23  12   0    A  19 ( 61- 38-  0) Maquoketa Valley       -1.21     13.21                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    W    98.17  41   7    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             12.72     21.28                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L    70.32  17  20 1  8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley         -15.12     12.12                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W *  76.66  26   7    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -8.78     27.78                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   112.79  47   7   1A  25 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin         27.35     12.65                      
 11 10/31/2011 Away    L    68.79  10  13    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -16.65     13.65                      
 12 08/24/2012 Home    W   123.78  67   0   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  38.34     28.66                      
 13 08/31/2012 Away    W   113.21  34   7   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 27.77     -0.77                      
 14 09/07/2012 Away    W   124.33  61   0    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          38.89     22.11                      
 15 09/14/2012 Home    W   122.62  65   0    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     37.18     27.82                      
 16 09/21/2012 Home    W    73.07  35  14    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -12.37     33.37                      
 17 09/28/2012 Away    W   119.17  55   0    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             33.72     21.28                      
 18 10/05/2012 Home    W   110.32  37   0    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley          24.88     12.12                      
 19 10/12/2012 Home    W *  77.12  35  12    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     -8.32     31.32                      
 20 10/19/2012 Away    W *  92.11  57  12    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               6.67     38.33                      
 21 10/24/2012 Home    W    98.61  69  24    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    13.17     31.83                      
 22 10/29/2012 Home    W   111.03  48  20   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   25.59      2.41                      
 23 11/02/2012 Home    W    86.20  46  20    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama        0.75     25.25                      
 24 11/09/2012 Neutral W   102.23  40  18    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           16.79      5.21                      
 25 11/15/2012 Neutral W    92.06  21  14   1A  11 ( 68- 34-  0) Hinton                  6.61      0.39                      
 26 08/30/2013 Away    W   102.32  48   6   1A  42 ( 24- 67-  0) Jesup                  16.88     25.12  ND                  
 27 09/06/2013 Home    W    96.67  35  21   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 11.23      2.77  ND                  
 28 09/13/2013 Home    W   129.79  70   0    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          44.35     25.65                      
 29 09/20/2013 Away    W   103.16  48   6    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     17.72     24.28                      
 30 09/27/2013 Away    W   117.61  62   0    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    32.17     29.83                      
 31 10/05/2013 Home    W   101.62  61  20    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             16.18     24.82  was 10/04 now 10/05 
 32 10/11/2013 Away    W    91.86  21   6    8   9 ( 72- 30-  0) Turkey Valley           6.42      8.58                      
 33 10/18/2013 Away    W *  89.66  42  10    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      4.22     27.78                      
 34 10/25/2013 Home    W *  78.57  35   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -6.87     41.87                      
 35 10/30/2013 Home    W   106.79  48   6    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           21.35     20.65                      
 36 11/04/2013 Home    W   110.40  35   0    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          24.96     10.04                      
 37 11/08/2013 Away    W    91.58  20  15   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R    6.13     -1.13                      
 38 11/15/2013 Neutral L    55.23  10  35    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -30.21      5.21                      
 39 08/29/2014 Home    W *  70.12  28  12    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -15.32     31.32                      
 40 09/05/2014 Neutral L *  54.67  21  56    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -30.77     -4.23                      
 41 09/12/2014 Home    W    93.20  40   7    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama        7.75     25.25                      
 42 09/19/2014 Away    L    41.20  12  41    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -44.24     15.24                      
 43 09/26/2014 Home    W    79.40  21  17    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          -6.04     10.04                      
 44 10/03/2014 Away    L    51.36   6  30   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -34.09     10.09                      
 45 10/10/2014 Away    W    80.53  34   0    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           -4.91     38.91                      
 46 10/17/2014 Home    L    33.67   0  49   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -51.77      2.77                      
 47 10/24/2014 Home    L    40.03   6  49   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R  -45.41      2.41                      
 48 10/29/2014 Away    L    45.48  22  40    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -39.96     21.96                      
 49 08/29/2015 Away    W *  74.66  17   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -10.78     27.78  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
 50 09/04/2015 Home    L *  65.90  14  36    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -19.54     -2.46  ND                  
 51 09/11/2015 Away    W   105.74  42   0    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       20.30     21.70                      
 52 09/18/2015 Home    L    60.65   6  12    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -24.79     18.79                      
 53 09/25/2015 Away    L    60.94  14  32    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -24.50      6.50                      
 54 10/02/2015 Home    L    37.81   0  34   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -47.63     13.63  ND                  
 55 10/09/2015 Home    W    85.99  43   0    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            0.55     42.45                      
 56 10/16/2015 Away    L    52.21   7  41   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -33.23     -0.77                      
 57 10/23/2015 Away    L    67.58  14  33   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R  -17.87     -1.13                      
 58 08/26/2016 Away    L *  75.44   0  16    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -10.00     -6.00  was 08/19 now 08/26 site change AND  ND
 59 09/02/2016 Home    L    73.67   7  16   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -11.77      2.77  ND                  
 60 09/09/2016 Away    W   106.79  41   6    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett              21.35     13.65                      
 61 09/16/2016 Home    W    75.79  23   7    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -9.65     25.65                      
 62 09/26/2016 Home    W    99.62  48   6    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     14.18     27.82  was 09/23 now 09/26 
 63 09/30/2016 Away    L    68.62   9  21    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -16.82      4.82                      
 64 10/07/2016 Away    W *  90.66  40   7    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      5.22     27.78                      
 65 10/14/2016 Home    W *  78.57  49  14    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              -6.87     41.87                      
 66 10/21/2016 Away    W    75.17  23  12    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn            -10.28     21.28                      
 67 10/28/2016 Away    L    78.73  10  28    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           -6.71    -11.29                      
 68 08/25/2017 Home    W * 106.90  27   8    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       21.46     -2.46  ND                  
 69 09/01/2017 Away    W   107.21  27   6   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 21.77     -0.77  ND                  
 70 09/08/2017 Home    W    94.25  32   6    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett               8.81     17.19                      
 71 09/15/2017 Away    W    64.33  14  13 1  A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -21.11     22.11                      
 72 09/22/2017 Away    W    95.16  34   0    A  47 ( 39- 55-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg      9.72     24.28                      
 73 09/29/2017 Home    W    93.08  38  22    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                  7.64      8.36                      
 74 10/06/2017 Home    W *  88.12  34   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont      2.68     31.32  Game Called in the 3 rd Qtr
 75 10/13/2017 Away    W *  89.11  42   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville               3.67     38.33                      
 76 10/20/2017 Home    W    88.62  35   7    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn              3.18     24.82                      
 77 10/27/2017 Home    L    69.03   0  14   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R  -16.41      2.41                      
 78 08/24/2018 Away    W *  86.41  28   8    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR           0.97     19.03  ND                  
 79 08/31/2018 Home    W    97.67  31  16   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 12.23      2.77  ND                  
 80 09/07/2018 Home    L    53.20  26  33    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -32.25     25.25                      
 81 09/14/2018 Away    W    72.71  39   0    8  59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG            -12.73     51.73                      
 82 09/21/2018 Home    W *  90.90  15  12    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        5.46     -2.46  ND                  
 83 09/28/2018 Away    W    99.53  53   0    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           14.09     38.91                      
 84 10/05/2018 Home    L    70.46  20  24   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -14.99     10.99                      
 85 10/12/2018 Home    W    62.79  21  18    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -22.65     25.65                      
 86 10/19/2018 Away    W    85.94  14   7    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center           0.50      6.50                      
 87 10/26/2018 Away    L    78.87   7  12    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        -6.57      1.57                      
 88 08/30/2019 Home    W * 101.86  52  13    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          16.42     22.58  ND                  
 89 09/06/2019 Away    W    93.21  13   6   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                  7.77     -0.77  ND                  
 90 09/13/2019 Away    L    57.74   7  13    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -27.70     21.70                      
 91 09/20/2019 Home    W    80.17  50   0    8  59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG             -5.28     55.28                      
 92 09/27/2019 Away    L *  89.44  26  28 1  A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek        4.00     -6.00                      
 93 10/04/2019 Home    W    96.99  54   0    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           11.55     42.45                      
 94 10/11/2019 Away    L    71.00   7  14   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -14.44      7.44                      
 95 10/18/2019 Away    W    94.33  49  18    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan           8.89     22.11                      
 96 10/25/2019 Home    L    72.40  14  17 1  A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center         -13.04     10.04                      
 97 08/28/2020 Away    W   108.21  42  20   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 22.77     -0.77  ND                  
 98 09/04/2020 Home    W    84.79  33   8    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan          -0.65     25.65  ND                  
 99 09/11/2020 Away    W *  62.41  21  20    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac     -23.03     24.03  ND                  
100 09/18/2020 Home    W *  74.12  28   8    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont    -11.32     31.32                      
101 09/25/2020 Home    L *  75.90  14  26    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       -9.54     -2.46                      
102 10/02/2020 Home    W * 109.57  66   0    A  55 ( 23- 70-  0) Postville              24.13     41.87  ND                  
103 10/09/2020 Away    W * 109.41  49   6    A  34 ( 41- 53-  0) Guttenberg CR          23.97     19.03                      
104 10/16/2020 Home    W * 112.12  58   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     26.68     31.32                      
105 10/23/2020 Home    W    82.57  20   7    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -2.87     15.87                      
106 10/30/2020 Home    W    84.08  15   8    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -1.36      8.36                      
107 11/06/2020 Away    L    97.10  27  32    A   2 (114- 15-  0) Iowa City Regina       11.66    -16.66                      
      Averages              85.61  30.8 13.4

Best game:  129.79 = 70 point win over Winthrop East Buchanan
Worst game:  33.67 = 49 point loss to Denver
Team stdev:  20.42